Do you wish you could be just like Dorothy Gale in “The Wonderful Wizard of Oz” and go on strange adventures in some far-off magical land, but you don’t live in an area that is close to twisters, hurricanes, and/or cyclones? Well, do we have some good news for you! This summer is said to be the perfect season for upcoming tempests!
Last year Hurricane Matthew demolished the Eastern Coast, taking the lives of 34 people, in addition to causing $10 billion in damage to the United States alone, but science predicts that the weather isn’t going to get any nicer this year.
Forecasters with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) expect to see storm numbers above average this year in the Atlantic. An average Atlantic season already has around 12 named storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes, but this year the expected range is somewhere from 11 to 17 storms. Of these numbers, five to nine are expected to become hurricanes, with two to four becoming major hurricanes.
According to Grist, however, it may be hard to plan for the storms, since it is nearly impossible to determine just when and where they will strike. The aforementioned forecast also “does not predict when, where, and how these storms might hit,” according to Ben Friedman, the acting NOAA administrator, who spoke during a press conference. In other words, all coastal residents should be prepared.
This year’s hurricane season has already started with an early bang, given April’s showers turned into Tropical Storm Arlene. That said, early storms are not an indicator of things to come. In order to determine anything about the huricane season, forecasters use trends in ocean temperatures, a wind shear measure, and the state of the El Niño cycles. Reportedly, the El Niño cycles are important because the changes in atmospheric patterns could have a domino effect on patterns over the Atlantic.
In the end, however, just remember that real-life hurricanes are dangerous and will not actually send you to Oz. I mean, seriously, according to the sixth book, Glinda the Good Witch used her magic to cut Oz off from the rest of the world to prevent that sort of thing from happening again. After all, she doesn’t want any houses falling on her!