Family & Education

Is Transgenderism on the Decline?

Several new studies suggest that far fewer young Americans are identifying as transgender.
Is Transgenderism on the Decline?
Andrii Yalanskyi/Shutterstock
Walker Larson
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Back in October 2025, Eric Kaufmann, professor of politics at the University of Buckingham in the U.K., released a striking study that showed a significant decline in the percentage of young adults who identified as transgender. Kaufmann received some criticism for his methodology, but he defended his findings, which were independently backed up by the work of Jean Twenge, professor of psychology at San Diego State University, using a different dataset and method.

Using data from the Cooperative Election Study (CES), Twenge found that among 18- to 22-year-olds, trans identification dropped by almost half from 2022 to 2024, while nonbinary identification more than halved between 2023 and 2024.

Walker Larson
Walker Larson
Author
Before becoming a freelance journalist and culture writer, Walker Larson taught literature and history at a private academy in Wisconsin, where he resides with his wife and daughter. He holds a master’s in English literature and language, and his writing has appeared in The Hemingway Review, Intellectual Takeout, and his Substack, The Hazelnut. He is also the author of two novels, “Hologram” and “Song of Spheres.”