Are Pandemic-Related Excess Deaths Due to COVID or Vaccines? Depends on Who’s Counting (Part 2)

Are Pandemic-Related Excess Deaths Due to COVID or Vaccines? Depends on Who’s Counting (Part 2)
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In Part 1 of this report, we reviewed a recent preprint linking excess deaths in Australia to the mRNA vaccine campaign. In Part 2, we consider the challenge of identifying the root cause of excess deaths, whether from COVID-19 or non-COVID-19 causes, such as vaccine adverse events or public health restrictions.

Summary of Key Facts

  • COVID-19 deaths may have varying definitions set by hospitals and states.
  • Vaccine-attributable deaths require more study to understand the mechanism of injury.
  • Estimates of excess mortality vary worldwide, causing them to be challenged as unreliable. 
  • Excess deaths among young people may have more to do with public health mitigations than the virus itself.
  • Australian officials have formally linked a young woman’s death due to cardiac arrest with the mRNA-1273 booster.

Are Excess Deaths Due to COVID or Vaccines? Hard to Decide

Cleaning Up the Death Data Could Start With Admissions to the Hospital

Reviewing reasons for excess loss of life during the pandemic depends on accurately ascribing causes for deaths.

To begin this work, states and countries should agree upon a standard case definition of a “COVID death.”

Allison Krug is an epidemiologist and program manager with experience leading population health programs. She's the lead author of the first stratified risk-benefit analysis of mRNA vaccination among adolescents and editor for 400+ research manuscripts published in high impact factor, peer-reviewed journals. She's also the founder and CEO of Artemis Biomedical Communications, LLC.
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