US 10-year Treasury Yields Priced for No Inflation Surprises, Set to Rise Modestly: Reuters Poll

US 10-year Treasury Yields Priced for No Inflation Surprises, Set to Rise Modestly: Reuters Poll
U.S. dollar banknotes are displayed in this illustration taken, Feb. 14, 2022. Dado Ruvic/REUTERS
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U.S. 10-year Treasury yields, assuming no upside inflation surprises, are likely to rise modestly in coming months, according to a Reuters poll of market experts, while short-dated yields are forecast to decline on rate cut bets.

The survey results suggest inertia in the world’s largest debt market despite a long list of potential risks, not least of which is a mountain of upcoming supply.