As a certified public accountant, the most common question I hear in the spring is, “How much do I actually have to pay the IRS right now?” In a perfect world, the IRS wants 90 percent of your total tax liability paid “ratably” (equally) throughout the year.
The problem? Most successful people don’t have perfectly predictable incomes. Whether it’s a year-end bonus, a business windfall, or a volatile stock market, hitting that 90 percent target is like trying to pin a tail on a moving donkey. If you miss, you face underpayment penalties.
1. The December Miracle: Late-Year Withholding
One of the most powerful “hacks” in the tax code involves the definition of withholding. Unlike estimated tax payments (which are credited on the day you mail the check), withholding is treated as being paid equally throughout the entire year, regardless of when it actually happens.The Strategy: If you realize in November that you’re underpaid, you can’t simply mail a massive, estimated tax payment to erase previous quarterly shortfalls—the penalty for the early quarters is already locked in. However, you can ramp up your withholding on your final December paychecks or take a “tax only” IRA distribution with 100 percent federal withholding.
2. The ‘Rearview Mirror’ Safe Harbor
If you want to be “bulletproof” against penalties regardless of how much you earn this year, look at last year’s tax return. This is the most common strategy for high-income earners.The Strategy: Pay in an amount based on your 2025 total tax. If your adjusted gross income is $150,000 or less, pay 100 percent of last year’s tax. If your AGI is over $150,000, you must pay 110 percent of last year’s tax.
3. The ‘Pay-as-You-Go’ (Annualized) Method
If your income is seasonal—for example, you’re a consultant who gets paid in the fourth quarter, or you have a concentrated stock position you plan to sell in the summer—paying equal amounts in April and June feels unfair and creates a cash flow crunch.The Strategy: Use the annualized income installment method. This requires performing a “mini tax return” calculation every quarter based on what you have actually earned to date.
4. The ‘Strategic Penalty’ Approach
Sometimes, the most mathematical move is simply not to pay until April. The IRS underpayment penalty isn’t a criminal fine; it’s essentially an interest charge for using the government’s money.The Strategy: If you have an investment opportunity or a high-yield environment where your money can earn more than the IRS interest rate, you might choose to underpay intentionally.







