UK House Prices Post Strongest Start to Year Since 2005: Nationwide

By Reuters
February 1, 2022 Updated: February 1, 2022

LONDON—British house price growth accelerated in January, marking the strongest start to any year since 2005, mortgage lender Nationwide said on Tuesday.

House prices jumped by 0.8 percent in January, following a 1.1 percent increase in December. A Reuters poll of economists had pointed to a 0.6 percent increase last month.

House prices stood 11.2 percent higher than their level in January 2021, the fastest annual growth since June and again outstripping the consensus forecast for a rise of 10.8 percent.

Other surveys have also pointed to strong house price growth, even after the expiry of temporary tax breaks on property purchases during the pandemic.

As in other countries, British house prices surged during the pandemic as people rushed to move to bigger homes with gardens. Nationwide said demand was likely to cool this year.

“Reduced affordability is likely to exert a dampening impact on market activity and house price growth, especially since household finances are also coming under pressure from sharp increases in the cost of living,” said Robert Gardner, Nationwide chief economist.

Consumer price inflation hit an almost 30-year high of 5.4 percent in December and looks set to peak at around 6 percent in April, according to the Bank of England, which is due to publish mortgage lending data at 0930 GMT on Tuesday.

“We expect households’ real disposable income to fall by around 1.5 percent this year as inflation surges and taxes rise,” said Samuel Tombs, economist at consultancy Pantheon Macroeconomics.

“All told, then, we think house price growth will fail to maintain its recent momentum, with month-to-month gains averaging just 0.2 percent in the first half of this year.”