2020 Polls: Biden Leads in New York, Warren on Top in California

September 17, 2019 Updated: September 17, 2019

New 2020 polls show the Democratic primary race is up for grabs with different candidates on top in different states.

A poll of New York state primary voters saw 22 percent pick former Vice President Joe Biden, 17 percent select Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), and 15 percent choose Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).

No other candidate received more than four percent.

When asked who has the best chance of winning the presidential election, 37 percent chose Biden, versus 13 percent who selected Warren and 11 percent who opted for Sanders.

The poll was conducted by the Siena College Research Institute (pdf) from Sept. 8 through Sept. 12 of 798 registered voters. The portion for 359 Democratic voters had a margin of error of plus/minus 6.1 percentage points.

Pollster Steven Greenberg noted in a statement that a number of respondents are still not sure who they want to support.

biden warren sanders 1
L: Joe Biden campaigns in Cedar Rapids, Iowa on Sept. 2, 2019. (Alex Wroblewski/Getty Images)
C: Elizabeth Warren waves as she arrives to speak during a Labor Day house party in Hampton Falls, New Hampshire, on Sept. 2, 2019. (Scott Eisen/Getty Images)
R: Bernie Sanders speaks during a U.S. Presidential Candidates Forum at the 2019 NABJ Annual Convention & Career Fair in Miami, Florida on Aug. 8, 2019. (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

“Although Biden, Warren, and Sanders are leading the pack among New York Democrats, more than one-third of those Democrats—more than support frontrunner Joe Biden—are still undecided,” Greenberg said. “We’re still more than four months until Iowa and New Hampshire Democrats vote, and seven months until New York Democrats weigh in on the Democratic presidential nomination.”

In a Change Research poll conducted in Georgia around the same time, out of 755 likely Democratic primary voters, Biden received 33 percent support, compared to Warren’s 22 percent and Sanders’s 17 percent.

No other candidate received more than 7 percent.

A California primary poll saw Warren on top, with 33 percent support. Biden was second with 18 percent and Sanders was third with just under 18 percent.

Warren shot up 10 percent since the last poll.

Bernie Sanders speaks on stage
Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) speaks on stage during a forum on gun safety in Des Moines, Iowa on Aug. 10, 2019. (Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)

The Capitol Weekly poll was conducted among primary voters. No margin of error was listed.

A Boston Herald-Franklin Pierce University poll, meanwhile, had Sanders on top with 29 percent, compared to Biden’s 21 percent and Warren’s 17 percent.

The poll was conducted from Sept. 4 to Sept. 10 and had a margin of error of plus/minus 3.4 percent. It surveyed primary voters, including 425 likely Democratic primary voters.

In a poll across four of the early primary states—Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, or Nevada—Biden was on top with 34 percent, compared to 21 percent for Sanders and 13 percent for Warren.

The Morning Consult poll was conducted between Sept. 13 and Sept. 15 among 7,487 people.

Biden is also leading in most national polls.

(L-R) Democratic presidential candidates Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.), South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.), former tech executive Andrew Yang, former Texas congressman Beto O’Rourke, and former Obama administration housing secretary Julian Castro appear on stage before the start of the Democratic Presidential Debate at Texas Southern University’s Health and PE Center in Houston, Texas on Sept. 12, 2019. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Poll: Biden Won Debate

While a poll just after the last Democratic presidential debate indicated Warren, businessman Andrew Yang, and Sanders performed the best, a new survey saw most respondents choose Biden as the winner.

A HarrisX-Hill poll released on Sept. 16 saw 20 percent of respondents say Biden did the best in the debate.

Twelve percent chose Warren, 9 percent chose Sanders, and 7 percent chose Harris.

Some 33 percent of respondents said they weren’t sure who did best.

The poll was conducted from Sept. 13 to Sept. 14 among 371 Democratic registered voters and had a margin of error of plus/minus 5.5 percentage points.

Follow Zachary on Twitter: @zackstieber
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