Why Biden and the Democrats Are Going to Lose Big

May 16, 2020 Updated: May 18, 2020


One of the crucial differences, if not the crucial difference, between the United States and Europe is that Americans, on balance, are more optimistic.

It’s been that way, really, since the founding. The Frenchman Alexis de Tocqueville famously recognized this American trait in the early 19th century.

It’s also been validated by a Pew poll as recently as 2015. Americans are “upbeat” while Euros are a bunch of gloomy Guses.

Europeans who came here in waves, escaping the poverty and totalitarianism of their continent, tended to be among the more hopeful and ambitious types of their group, the optimistic risk-takers, amplifying the contrast between the Old and New Worlds.

It may be a bit simplistic—and, yes, a counter-narrative exists exemplified by this year’s, again nauseating, Pulitzer winner “1619”—but American positive thinking accounts, as well as anything, for the great expansion of the United States into the most powerful country in the world.

And therein lies the basic problem for Joe Biden and the Democrats in the Year of the Pandemic 2020. (They obviously have others, including the candidate himself, who appears to have reversed the recent trend and made 87 the new 77.)

Since what seems like time immemorial but is actually only three and a half years, Joe and the Dems have largely built their political opinions and virtually everything else on 24/7 attack dog criticism of President Donald Trump.

First, it was Trump–Russia collusion (erased), then it was an impeachment about … what was it? … oh yes, about 30 seconds of a phone call to the president of the Ukraine (also erased) … and now, it’s about “mishandling the pandemic.”

All three reflect a tremendous misjudgment of the American people that de Tocqueville could have explained to the Dems 200 years ago. They, and their media friends, have turned into, if they weren’t already, what Spiro Agnew (no de Tocqueville, clearly, but this at least was memorable) referred to as the “nattering nabobs of negativism.”

Stuck in their basements figuratively and literally, Biden and the Dems have little positive to offer.

With $3 trillion, or is it $6 trillion, already spent on the pandemic and more to come, the trillions and trillions of further “free everything” spending proposals from their house leftists Bernie Sanders and AOC seem so bizarre it’s almost impossible to wrap your mind around where the money could possibly come from. (Gold mining expeditions to Alpha Centauri? Elon Musk, call your office.)

How does this all add up for Trump, an eternal optimist if there ever was one, who wants us all to get back to work in the American way? (Besides being optimists, we’re also workaholics.)

A pile of good news has recently appeared for Trump—the best of which is a new CNN poll of the battleground states showing Trump ahead, 52 to 45. Even though Biden is still ahead, for now, in the popular vote, that portends a bigger electoral college advantage for Trump than he had in 2016, when it was  substantial.

Biden’s vaunted “lunch bucket” appeal with the working class doesn’t seem so great after all, especially since his allies—Democratic governors—have contracted severe cases of stay-at-home-itis, locking up their citizens with no end in sight.

With blue collar folks losing their jobs by the millions while white collar rich Dems continue to earn their high salaries working from home, the once people’s Democratic Party is branding itself, consciously or not, as the party of elites. Trump, not Biden, turns out to be the tribune of the working class.

So it’s not surprising the president has an even bigger lead in the only poll that really counts since it is still early days, the poll that has the greatest reputation for accuracy—the betting odds.

There Trump is up by a solid 9.1 over Biden, according to the Real Clear Politics average. And if you look at their graph, you see, in the view of people putting their money up (i.e., not pundits), the president’s lead is expanding.

A couple of months ago, before the pandemic had really hit, he was slightly behind. Where is this going? Are we headed for a blowout?

Analysis: yes.

Roger L. Simon—the Epoch Times’ senior political columnist—is also a novelist, an Academy Award-nominated screenwriter, and co-founder of PJ Media. He tweets @rogerlsimon.

Views expressed in this article are the opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.