A Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll shows tight races between presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump and Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton in three important swing states, Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania.
The poll shows that there’s a wide gender gap between the two candidates, prompting Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll to say that it would be a good election for divorce lawyers:
“This election may be good for divorce lawyers. The gender gap is massive and currently benefits Trump,” Brown added.
“In Pennsylvania, Clinton’s 19-point lead among women matches Trump’s 21-point margin among men. In Ohio, she is up 7 points among women but down 15 points with men. In Florida she is up 13 points among women but down 13 points among men.”
The poll also shows that Democratic challenger Bernie Sanders does better against Donald Trump than Clinton in all three states.
Florida
In Florida, Clinton leads Trump 43 percent to Trump’s 42 percent.
The poll notes a gender gap where 48 percent of women are in favor of Clinton, and 49 percent of men are in favor of Trump.
Florida voters say 54-40 percent that Trump would do a better job than Clinton handling the economy, and say 49-43 percent that he would be better on terrorism.
Both candidates get a negative 37-57 percent favorability overall.
Bernie Sanders leads Trump by slightly more than Clinton, edging out Trump 44 percent to 42 percent.
Ohio
In Ohio, Trump leads with 43 percent to Clinton’s 39 percent.
The gender gap is also high in Ohio, where Trump leads 51-36 percent among men, and Clinton takes women 43-36 percent.
The racial gap is split, with most white voters voting Republican 49-32 percent, and non-white voters voting Democrat 76-14 percent.
Clinton gets a negative 34-62 percent favorability, compared to Trump’s negative 36-57 percent.
Ohio voters say 47-39 percent Clinton is more intelligent than Trump and by a narrow 43-39 percent that she has higher moral standards.
As in Florida, Bernie Sanders does better against Trump, leading 43 to 41 percent.
Pennsylvania
In Pennsylvania, Clinton leads with the same margin as in Florida: 43 percent to Trump’s 42 percent.
As with the other two states, the poll shows a gender and racial divide.
Women back Clinton 51-32 percent, while men go to Trump 54-33 percent. White voters go Republican 48-37 percent, while non-white voters go Democratic 74-14 percent.
