Australia’s Rental Crisis Worsens in the March Quarter

Australia’s Rental Crisis Worsens in the March Quarter
A lease sign is displayed outside a home in Edmondson Park in Sydney, Australia, on April 28, 2016. (Brendon Thorne/Getty Images)
Alfred Bui
4/5/2023
Updated:
4/11/2023

Australia’s rental crisis has worsened in the first quarter of 2023 with rising prices and falling vacancies, adding more pressure on renters across the country.

In its latest quarterly rental review, real estate data provider CoreLogic pointed out that national rental prices rose by 2.5 percent in the March quarter, up from two percent in the previous three months.

This increase resulted in an extra payment of $52 (US$35) a week, or $2,727 a year, for an average renter.

And compared to the March quarter of 2022, the cost of rent jumped by 10.1 percent.

CoreLogic economist Kaytlin Ezzy said the findings indicated a worsening trend for Australian renters.

“The re-acceleration of Australia’s rental market won’t be welcome news for those tenants already struggling to find affordable accommodation in our capital cities,” she said.

At the same time, the report showed that vacancy rates dropped to near-record lows of 1.1 percent nationally in March, down from 1.3 percent in December.

Ezzy cited the strongest growth of overseas migration since the COVID-19 outbreak and a shortage in rental listings as the main reason for the low vacancy rates.

“There’s already a chronic undersupply of advertised rental stock in many parts of the country that’s translated into record low vacancy rates across most capitals.”

Specifically, the total count of national rental listings plunged to under 95,000 in the four weeks to April 2, which was 17.3 percent lower than last year and 36.3 percent lower than the previous five-year average.

Sydney Becomes the Most Expensive City to Rent in Australia

With a median rental price of $699 per week, Sydney has surpassed Canberra ($674 per week) to become the most expensive capital city for tenants.

CoreLogic found that the city’s cost of rent lifted 3.4 percent in the March quarter and 12.6 percent in the past 12 months, the highest annual increase since 2006.

While Melbourne still remained Australia’s most affordable city to rent at $526 per week, it had narrowed the gap with Adelaide, which had the second lowest rental prices ($531 per week).

Ezzy said the return of overseas migrants and international students had caused Melbourne’s prices to increase significantly during the period.

“Weaker rental demand due to extended lockdowns and closed international borders saw Melbourne’s relative rental affordability improve through the first two years of COVID,” she said.

“However, since overseas migrants and international students had returned, and they typically choose to rent in Melbourne or Sydney, the pendulum had swung the other way.”

A couple walks past a real estate agent's window in Melbourne, Australia, on May 1, 2019. (William West/AFP via Getty Images)
A couple walks past a real estate agent's window in Melbourne, Australia, on May 1, 2019. (William West/AFP via Getty Images)

In terms of regions, capital cities’ combined prices grew by three percent on average in the March quarter, which was more than twice the growth of regional areas (1.2 percent).

Another noticeable trend in the rental market was the surge in unit prices.

National unit rents rose 3.9 percent over the quarter, up from 2.8 percent in the three months to December.

In comparison, house rent growth increased from 1.7 percent to two percent during the same period.

No Rent Relief in Sight

Amid a very tight rental market, tenants struggling to pay their rent are unlikely to see a price relief any time soon.

Ezzy also did not expect any significant increase in stock levels in the short term.

In addition, she said there was not much financial incentive for investors to enter the market due to a decline in net yields from rent.

“Tenants coming up against affordability constraints have limited opportunities, and unlike homeowners, can’t borrow to pay rent,” she said.

“It’s likely some tenants are now sacrificing the spare room or home office and re-forming share houses that disbanded throughout COVID in order to share the rental burden.

“Those who have the financial means to pull together a deposit might be taking the plunge into home ownership sooner while others are locking in longer leases, rather than brave the hunt for a new rental.”

CoreLogic’s report comes as the National Housing Finance and Investment Corporation has warned that Australia will fall short of 106,000 dwellings by 2027.
Alfred Bui is an Australian reporter based in Melbourne and focuses on local and business news. He is a former small business owner and has two master’s degrees in business and business law. Contact him at [email protected].
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