Top Election Forecasters Identify 7 Democratic-Held Seats at Risk After Supreme Court Ruling

Sabato’s Crystal Ball and Cook Political Report flagged seats in five Southern states, though both said the 2026 impact remains uncertain.

The Supreme Court in Washington on April 28, 2026. Madalina Kilroy/The Epoch Times

Election forecasters Sabato’s Crystal Ball and Cook Political Report on Wednesday identified seven Democratic-held House seats in the South as potential Republican targets following the Supreme Court’s landmark decision dealing with racial gerrymandering and redistricting. The impact on the 2026 midterms, however, remains uncertain, the forecasters said.

The Supreme Court ruled 6–3 in Louisiana v. Callais that the state’s redrawn congressional map was unconstitutional because race was the predominant factor in drawing the lines.