Last week, the Commerce Department announced that its preliminary first-quarter GDP estimate was a snail-paced 1.6% annual rate, well below economists’ consensus estimate of a 2.5% annual pace. One reason is that the core Personal Consumption inflation index rose 0.3% in March and 2.8% in the past year. The Dow initially fell 700 points on this 1-2 punch, but the market clawed back most of that loss by the closing, and Friday recovered to deliver weekly gains of +2.7% in the S&P 500 and +4.2% in Nasdaq.
Growth is Down and Inflation is Up, But Earnings Matter Most

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading in New York City on Jan. 11, 2024. Angela Weiss/AFP via Getty Images
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