Vallance Says ‘No One’ in Number 10 Read the Science on 2-Metre Social Distancing Rule

The COVID-19 Inquiry heard evidence from the former chief scientific adviser, who claimed the Cabinet Office was “bipolar” on pandemic decision-making.
Vallance Says ‘No One’ in Number 10 Read the Science on 2-Metre Social Distancing Rule
Chief Scientific Adviser Sir Patrick Vallance leaves the Cabinet Office after a COBRA meeting ahead of the first daily public updates in London, on March 16, 2020. (Leon Neal/Getty Images)
Owen Evans
10/4/2023
Updated:
10/4/2023
0:00

No one in the Cabinet Office “took the time to understand the science” on two-metre social distancing, according to a diary entry of Britain’s chief scientific advisor at the time which has been submitted as evidence to the ongoing COVID Inquiry.

In a hearing at the inquiry on Tuesday, lead counsel for the inquiry Hugo Keith, KC quoted from the diary of former Chief Scientific Adviser Sir Patrick Vallance, in which he said one Cabinet Office document had been made up of “cherry-picked” guidance.

In the diary Sir Patrick wrote, “Number 10 chaos as usual.”

“On Friday, the two-metre rule meeting made it abundantly clear that no one in Number 10 or the Cabinet Office had really read or taken time to understand the science advice on two metres. Quite extraordinary.”

In July 2020 when some restrictions were lifted, Sir Patrick said “the ridiculous flip-flopping is getting worse” and “the CMO [Chief Medical Officer Sir Chris Whitty] and I are both worried about the extreme inconsistency from the Prime Minister, lurching from open everything to panic.”

A child has his temperature checked by a teacher before entering Earlham Primary School, in London, on June 10, 2020. (Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)
A child has his temperature checked by a teacher before entering Earlham Primary School, in London, on June 10, 2020. (Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)

Social Distancing

In March 2020, the UK government recommended several measures as part of an approach termed “social distancing.” At the time, practising social distancing by observing a two-metre gap was reinforced through “nudge unit” public health messaging.

The recommended distance between people varied internationally. For example, the German government advised 1.5 metres and the French government advised one metre.

It is not clear what Sir Patrick meant by Number 10 “not taking time to understand the science.”

The Epoch Times has contacted ARIA, the research agency where Sir Patrick serves as a board member, for comment.

Last Wednesday, the UK Health Security Agency released a report which said that the evidence base for the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as lockdown, social distancing, test and isolation, masks, the “rule of six,” travel and border restrictions, and more, was “weak.”

NPIs, also known as “public health and social measures,” are any public health intervention not primarily based on medication.

The report concluded that “there is a lack of strong evidence on the effectiveness of NPIs to reduce COVID-19 transmission.”

At War With Itself

Sir Patrick has submitted almost 250 pages to the COVID Inquiry setting out a full chronological account of the science advice he provided.

The aims of the inquiry are to “examine, consider, and report on preparations and the response to the pandemic in England, Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland.”

The probe, which will cost around £100 million, is gathering evidence on the preparedness of hospitals and PPE spending, and looking at the impact of the virus on those with protected characteristics.

Mr. Keith quoted further passages from the diary in which he claimed that the chief medical officers were “being used as human shields” by ministers.

In his notes for May 7, 2020, Sir Patrick wrote, “Ministers try to make the science give the answers rather than them making decisions.”

He also wrote in his diary about something said by the Cabinet Secretary Simon Case at the time.

“He says Number 10 is at war with itself. Carrie [Johnson] faction with [Michael] Gove and another with spads [special advisers] downstairs. The PM is caught in the middle. He, the Cabinet Secretary, has spoken to all his predecessors … and no one has seen anything like it.”

Former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson looks on during a tour after a meeting with Gov. Greg Abbott at the Texas State Capitol in Austin, Texas, on May 23, 2023. (Brandon Bell/Getty Images)
Former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson looks on during a tour after a meeting with Gov. Greg Abbott at the Texas State Capitol in Austin, Texas, on May 23, 2023. (Brandon Bell/Getty Images)

Sir Patrick claimed that witnesses also complained about former Prime Minister Boris Johnson.

“As another person said, it’s so inconsistent. It’s like bipolar decision-making,” he wrote.

“Morning PM meeting, wants everything normal by September and only deal with things locally and regionally. He is now completely bullish about opening everything -- as [another person] said it is so inconsistent,” he added.

Mr. Keith added: “Sir Patrick’s diary contains entries such as ‘this flip-flopping is impossible. One minute do more. Next do nothing. He doesn’t seem to push actions or resolutions.'”

The Epoch Times contacted the Cabinet Office and Mr. Johnson for comment.

PA Media contributed to this report.
Owen Evans is a UK-based journalist covering a wide range of national stories, with a particular interest in civil liberties and free speech.
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