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Australian Croppers Warn Winter Harvest Is Not Looking Great

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Australian Croppers Warn Winter Harvest Is Not Looking Great
GUNNEDAH, AUSTRALIA - OCTOBER 3: A failed wheat crop can be seen in a paddock on farmer Trevor Knapman's property located on the outskirts of the north-western New South Wales town of Gunnedah October 3, 2019 in Australia. Lack of rain has forced wheat farmers in the Gunnedah region to turn their failed wheat crops into hay, which they are selling to cattle and sheep farmers desperate to feed their remaining stock as the drought continues across New South Wales. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has declared the ongoing drought across the Murray Darling Basin to be the worst on record, with current conditions now exceeding the Federation Drought (1895-1903), the WWII drought (1937-1947) and the Millennium drought (1997-2009). The Federal and NSW Governments announced a new drought emergency funding plan on Oct. 13, with $1 billion to go to water infrastructure for rural and regional communities impacted by the devastating drought in NSW, including a $650m upgrade of Wyangala Dam in the NSW central west and a $480m new Dungowan Dam near Tamworth. Photo by David Gray/Getty Images
AAP
By AAP
11/24/2023Updated: 11/24/2023
0:00

Grain producer Barry Large knew it wasn’t going to be a record harvest but he wasn’t anticipating yields this low.

“It’s not looking great, our yield will be down 50 percent plus,” Mr. Large said of his wheat and barley crops.

Export hay is looking even worse.

The West Australian (WA) cropper, who also chairs Grain Producers Australia, said it was similar in other parts of his state, which is the nation’s biggest producer of winter crops.

“I would suggest the state’s going to be 50 percent down on what we produced last year,” Mr. Large said.

“We were pretty close to 25 million tonne last year—anything over 12 million tonne this year would be a good result.”

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The national agency for agriculture and resource economics expected winter crop production to drop by a third to 45.2 million tonnes following three consecutive record years.

Mr. Large said the forecast is optimistic.

“Do I think we would get an average crop out of Australia this year? No, I wouldn’t because the bigger grain growing regions are going to be well short,” Mr. Large said.

A lack of rain is driving the drop in volumes.

“If you had said to me three months ago it’s not going to rain in October and very little in September, I would have said what would you like to put on it?”

The WA farmer said while the clouds might not have delivered much rain, the high quality of crops was a silver lining.

In Queensland, where yields were also much lower, some areas had no winter crop at all.

Brendan Taylor from the Western Downs said the best performing crops were those planted early, including barley.

“Large areas in southern inland cropping areas did not plant or had crops fail due to little or no rain,” Mr. Taylor said.

“This year is probably a third of the size of last year’s crop.”

Good rain has fallen in southern Queensland but much more is needed.

New South Wales (NSW) is one of the nation’s biggest winter crop producers.

“We’ve come off a couple of record years but this year’s coming right back to average across the state,” Moree grain grower Matthew Madden said.

The northern NSW farmer has wound up his winter crop harvest earlier than ever.

“The north is way below last year—southern NSW is better,” Mr. Madden said.

On the Yorke Peninsula in South Australia, Mark Schilling said the picture was bright.

“We’ve had an exceptional year, the season has been really good to us,” Mr. Schilling told AAP.

“Yorke Peninsula’s been pretty good, mid north’s okay, you talk to some people they’ve had good crops, some have had bad crops.”

In Victoria, where the headers are still rolling, the results are looking positive.

“We’re about 80 percent done and we’re looking at above average yields,” western Victorian cropper Craig Henderson said.

Farmers are keeping an eye on the rain forecast for the end of the week, hoping it doesn’t wash away the good results.

“Fingers crossed for Friday,” Mr. Henderson said.

AAP
AAP
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Australian Associated Press is an Australian news agency.
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