Last week, the federal government embarked on a disastrous path as regards banking and finance. Their actions guarantee a worsening of the problem, whether in the near term or down the line. These “emergency” actions have effectively created a moral hazard that could wreck the entire sector and the whole economy over time.
In short, the government just guaranteed 100 percent of deposits in major banks, amounting to nearly $10 trillion in bailout guarantees.
There’s no living thinker who believes that this is a good idea. Why would they do it? From every account we have so far concerning the chaotic couple of days at the White House, they did it because they didn’t know what else to do. They feared that allowing Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) to fail would lead to contagion. There’s zero evidence that this is true.
SVB failed for specific reasons related to its bond portfolio. Egged on by federal regulators who pushed government bonds over the exotic financial instruments that created such trouble in 2008, this bank went all in on fixed-rate bonds. Its entire portfolio became devalued when rates rose after the Federal Reserve changed its policies. Instead of taking a haircut, like many major banks did, this bank did nothing.
The bank should have been allowed to fail, full stop. Depositors might eventually have gotten 70 cents on the dollar. So what? That’s what happens when you keep your money in uninsured accounts. Too bad for Harry and Meghan, but that’s how it is. A little tough love here would have been a beautiful thing to see. Today would be very different as risk-management teams took a closer look at their bold holdings and depositors became more scrupulous in balancing their accounts.
Instead, the government utterly wrecked rationality in the name of emergency.
We’ve been here before. There are very close analogies between this response to a banking crisis—never let any bank fail or any depositor lose money—and the insane response to COVID-19. The unstated presumption behind the COVID-19 response was that it was the government’s job to minimize or even eliminate infections. This idea was completely bogus from the very beginning, and the attempt to implement it wrecked the country and the world. It was all done under the cover of emergency.
Let’s go back three years ago to see what happened. On March 9, 2020, President Donald Trump wrote in a tweet that the novel coronavirus could be a lot like the flu and so there was nothing really that government could or should do about it. People die; that’s how it goes. Government has no magical power to stop it. On this intuition, however clumsily he stated it, he was exactly right.
All it took was for Trump to agree. Consider that he was being screamed at by all the industries and sectors that would benefit from lockdown: technology companies, media, big-box stores, online retailers, public-health bureaucrats, pharmaceutical companies, and a panoply of politicians seeking largesse. What was missing from this crowd of Chicken Littles was one scientist who could point out that a bioweapon virus from a lab still has to operate in its effect on the population like a textbook virus.
What they did was fast-track a vaccine that wasn’t needed, even if it worked for 90 percent of the population. Incredibly, it became its own form of bioweapon once it was forced on the population, causing rampant health deprecation and even death. In the name of controlling a supposed bioweapon, they created one.
The right approach would have focused on the therapeutics necessary to make sick people well. That concern was disregarded. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the National Institutes of Health didn’t give a fig for that concern, which left doctors empty-handed once they confronted sick patients. It took a group of outspoken normal physicians to figure out that there were repurposed drugs that could work. Government, meanwhile, was only focused on ventilating people and spreading panic.
In other words, it was the invocation of emergency that caused people to lose their heads and forget all known information about viruses and disease mitigation. Instead, they deployed a wild and wacky experiment in universal human control, as if we were all lab rats in their science project. It was nothing short of a disaster for public health, economics, culture, and law.
Something very similar unfolded concerning SVB. Instead of treating this for what it was—the failure of a poorly run business—the White House panicked into tossing all known economic principles and all rationality into the trash. It’s just common sense that you don’t bail out institutions that make terrible errors, lest you create the very conditions that lead to a perpetuation of those errors in other institutions. But did they care? No. And why? Because it was an emergency.
There’s only one kind of banking system that doesn’t tolerate bank failures: a non-functioning one. Quite simply, stopping bank failures is the wrong goal driven by the wrong metric, just like virus shutdowns were motivated by the wrong goal driven by the wrong metric. The trouble is that powerful people in hot boxes of panic and freak-out are the wrong people to make these decisions, and yet they’re the ones making them.
We’re witnessing yet another failure of the administrative state in this crisis—just like the last one. These are people with too much power, no accountability, and not enough knowledge or wisdom. Yet they’re the ones running the show! It appears that every time they do something to fix a problem, they make the problem worse. The supposed cure seems always to be worse than the disease.
There’s one major and dramatic reform needed in this country and all countries. The administrative apparatus of the state needs to be completely disabled and gutted. It needs to happen now. This solution needs to be broadly applied whether it pertains to disease, energy, banking, money, and everything else. Until that happens, there’s good reason to be pessimistic about the cause of freedom itself.
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