Bloomberg News is concerned that rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to “fight inflation” may put the 2024 reelection of President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris at risk by pushing the U.S. economy into a recession.
The rest of the article is written from the Democrat point of view—from discussing Democrat priorities to hand-wringing about esoteric efforts to “reduce inflation” while ignoring root causes.
Let us dissect that article in detail.
First, there is no word in that article that explains precisely why a recession was “barely on the radar” just a few months ago but is now a virtual uncertainty. There is hand-wringing about Americans “watching their grocery and utility bills soar,” but only passing reference was made to the likely root causes, which was contained in a single sentence buried midway through the article that stated that inflation was “sparked by the pandemic supply-chain crunch and massive fiscal stimulus, and given new impetus by the energy shock that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.”
Through its careful wording and sequencing, this phrase obfuscates the root causes of the current inflation, all directly resulting from the Biden administration’s policies.
In essence, a principal source of “too many dollars”—and one of the key root causes and the initiating trigger of the current U.S. inflationary cycle—is the Democrats’ so-called “American Rescue Plan,” which added nearly $2 trillion in new money to an already fiscally-stimulated and overheated economy in early 2021.
The other principal root cause was Biden’s actions to shut down U.S. oil and gas production. Trump-era policies deregulated and incentivized U.S. oil and gas exploration.
Biden completely reversed those policies by canceling the Keystone XL and Dakota Access pipelines, placing a hold on new oil and gas leases (which roiled investors), adding highly restrictive environmental regulations on oil and gas exploration, and ultimately terminating exploration on “protected” federal lands.
Energy costs equate to more than just gasoline prices at the pump. The cost of energy impacts manufacturing, production, transportation, heating, air-conditioning, refrigeration, and many other key elements of a national economy. Low energy costs are the key to a robust and growing economy. Rising energy costs have a delayed ripple effect that takes time to manifest due to supply and demand fluctuations, which is why the inflation rate in the United States has been rising over time.
Put inflationary federal spending together with purposely curtailed energy supplies, and throw in other contributing factors of lesser importance such as mismanaged supply chain disruptions, and the result is 8.6 percent inflation.
A correct rewording of that Bloomberg article phrase would be as follows: “The current inflationary spiral was sparked by massive federal stimulus spending that was accelerated by Biden executive orders that throttled oil and gas production, raising the price of gasoline and energy costs to unprecedented heights. Other Biden policies, including mismanagement of U.S. transportation infrastructure and continuation of economic lockdowns largely in Blue states, merely exacerbate the problem.”
In short, the current U.S. inflation directly results from Biden’s policies.
The Bloomberg article dances around the issue. The writers get close to the subject while conveying their perplexity about rising inflation by stating that ”US consumers are still flush with cash and jobless rates are near historic lows.”
The writers then discuss White House concerns that they “risk losing what ability they have to get legislation passed, including measures to lift the economy if it slumps.” This translates into the ability of Democrats to pass more spending bills, which is precisely the wrong fiscal policy in an inflationary economy.
Virtually every Democrat policy solution is to throw more money at the problem regardless of the long-term effect on inflation and debt service. A perfect example of that is one of the “key issues” cited in the article: student loan debt. Forgiving student loan debt is entirely political and entirely controversial. It involves the federal government paying off that debt courtesy of the taxpayers, which adds to the national debt and infuriates those Americans who paid off their own college debts over the years.
Perhaps an even more important point made by Moore is that “inflation has cost the average person roughly $3,000 a year in lost real income.” This is what ordinary people are experiencing directly in the Biden economy, which spells disaster in the upcoming midterm elections and 2024.
And yet the Bloomberg article has the Biden White House tinkering around the edges of inflation by talking about taxing oil producers and cutting China tariffs while worrying about whether the Fed’s interest rate hikes—one of the few real policies that will actually help reduce inflation—will push the country into a recession. Nary a word about cutting federal spending or returning to the oil and gas policies of the Trump administration, which would attack the real root causes of spiraling inflation.