Viewpoints
Opinion

US Economy Defies Recession and Stagflation Predictions

Investors and consumers have plenty of reason to be optimistic, despite earlier ‘consensus’ estimates.
US Economy Defies Recession and Stagflation Predictions
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in a file photo. Stephen Chernin/Getty Images
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Commentary

In 2025, the mainstream Keynesian narrative that the United States would inevitably experience a recession and stagflation has proven to be utterly incorrect. The American economy is performing much better than its comparable nations, is showing broad-based strength, and even has indications of accelerating growth, giving investors and consumers plenty of reason to feel more optimistic, despite the “consensus” estimates from earlier in the year.