There Is Still No Way for Argentina to Get Out of Its Financial Difficulties

There Is Still No Way for Argentina to Get Out of Its Financial Difficulties
People walk past a bank branch decorated with images of old Argentine peso bills, in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on Sept. 26, 2018. Argentina’s year on year inflation hit a staggering 142 percent during election week. Eitan Abramovich/AFP via Getty Images
Law Ka-chung
Updated:
Commentary

Argentina’s new president announced a shock therapy. The first eye-catching change was to devalue the official peso exchange rate by 54 percent. While the official ARS to U.S. Dollar rate changed from 366 to 800, the black-market rate was still much weaker at about 1,000. This means such an act could only make the official price less fake compared to the true market price, and was a concession under market pressure. Such an act is also not meaningful for those who are using U.S. Dollars instead of ARS. Inferentially, who would still use a currency that depreciates speedily? Such an act is, by and large, futile.

Law Ka-chung
Law Ka-chung
Author
Law Ka-chung is a commentator on global macroeconomics and markets. He has been writing numerous newspaper and magazine columns and talking about markets on various TV, radio, and online channels in Hong Kong since 2005. He covers all types of economics and finance topics in the United States, Europe, and Asia, ranging from macroeconomic theories to market outlook for equities, currencies, rates, yields, and commodities. He has been the chief economist and strategist at a Hong Kong branch of the fifth-largest Chinese bank for more than 12 years. He has a Ph.D. in Economics, MSc in Mathematics, and MSc in Astrophysics.
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