Labour Party’s Economic Impact Is Less Than You Think

Labour Party’s Economic Impact Is Less Than You Think
Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer speaks to supporters at a watch party for the results of the 2024 General Election in central London on July 5, 2024. Jeff Moore/PA Wire
Law Ka-chung
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Commentary

The UK just elected a left-wing party, the Labour Party, to run its government. A consideration is whether the new leaders will spend more, increase taxes, and have a major impact on the country’s economic performance. Yet historically, we do not see much evidence of this. First of all, the budget deficits normalized as the ratio to GDP has been worsening almost linearly over time ever since 1948. This has been true regardless of which party was in power. Even replacing it with the debt-to-GDP ratio does not make much difference, as it shows a similar trend as deficits.

Law Ka-chung
Law Ka-chung
Author
Law Ka-chung is a commentator on global macroeconomics and markets. He has been writing numerous newspaper and magazine columns and talking about markets on various TV, radio, and online channels in Hong Kong since 2005. He covers all types of economics and finance topics in the United States, Europe, and Asia, ranging from macroeconomic theories to market outlook for equities, currencies, rates, yields, and commodities. He has been the chief economist and strategist at a Hong Kong branch of the fifth-largest Chinese bank for more than 12 years. He has a Ph.D. in Economics, MSc in Mathematics, and MSc in Astrophysics.
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