Opinion
Opinion

Tech Is Cyclical and Broadly Correlates to the Fortunes of the Economy

Tech Is Cyclical and Broadly Correlates to the Fortunes of the Economy
Pedestrians walk past the NASDAQ headquarters in New York, with the NASDAQ composite index at another five-year low, on July 2, 2002. Mario Tama/Getty Images
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Commentary

The tech boom is a hot topic stemming mainly from tech stock prices. While the sector, as reflected by, say, the Nasdaq index performing brightly over the last year, the overall picture was not good. Small cap indexes like the Russel 2000 were basically stagnant over the same period. Even broadly famous indexes like the S&P 500, excluding the “magnificent seven,” showed a much-reduced rise. No one would deny the unlimited future of tech, but what matters is how quickly it could be transformed into earnings. It seems the market is pricing in an increasingly distant future.

Law Ka-chung
Law Ka-chung
Author
Law Ka-chung is a commentator on global macroeconomics and markets. He has been writing numerous newspaper and magazine columns and talking about markets on various TV, radio, and online channels in Hong Kong since 2005. He covers all types of economics and finance topics in the United States, Europe, and Asia, ranging from macroeconomic theories to market outlook for equities, currencies, rates, yields, and commodities. He has been the chief economist and strategist at a Hong Kong branch of the fifth-largest Chinese bank for more than 12 years. He has a Ph.D. in Economics, MSc in Mathematics, and MSc in Astrophysics.
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