It’s Price Rather Than Amount or Flow of Money That Matters

It’s Price Rather Than Amount or Flow of Money That Matters
Pedestrians walk past the Bank of England in the City of London on Aug. 2, 2018. Daniel Leal-Olivas/AFP/Getty Images
Law Ka-chung
Updated:
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Commentary
The nightmare for the central bank is not high inflation by itself but when high inflation is not responsive to tightening measures. As an example, we can look at the situation in the UK. The accompanying chart shows that the UK has broad money (M4) growing year-over-year (YoY) at zero percent, down from the recent peak of over 10 percent three years ago. Since broad money reflects not only the money in circulation but also its turnover rate, a sharp drop in growth should indicate that money flow (lending) is indeed cooling down.
Law Ka-chung
Law Ka-chung
Author
Law Ka-chung is a commentator on global macroeconomics and markets. He has been writing numerous newspaper and magazine columns and talking about markets on various TV, radio, and online channels in Hong Kong since 2005. He covers all types of economics and finance topics in the United States, Europe, and Asia, ranging from macroeconomic theories to market outlook for equities, currencies, rates, yields, and commodities. He has been the chief economist and strategist at a Hong Kong branch of the fifth-largest Chinese bank for more than 12 years. He has a Ph.D. in Economics, MSc in Mathematics, and MSc in Astrophysics.
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