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Inflation Will Be More Persistent Than Expected

Inflation Will Be More Persistent Than Expected
Semi-trucks pull into a TA Travel Center to fill up with diesel in Jessup, Md., on May 2, 2022. Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images
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Commentary

The most important economic question to date is still the old one: whether inflation has peaked or still has some months to go. The U.S. official tone on inflation has always been on the supply side such as the logistic blockage due to Covid-19 lockdowns or the Ukraine-Russian war. The demand side of ridiculous monetary easing causing inflation has never been addressed, albeit the real boosting effect has been emphasised repeatedly. Tracing the source of inflation is crucial because the supply side factors are fading out, but this is not yet the case on the demand side.

Law Ka-chung
Law Ka-chung
Author
Law Ka-chung is a commentator on global macroeconomics and markets. He has been writing numerous newspaper and magazine columns and talking about markets on various TV, radio, and online channels in Hong Kong since 2005. He covers all types of economics and finance topics in the United States, Europe, and Asia, ranging from macroeconomic theories to market outlook for equities, currencies, rates, yields, and commodities. He has been the chief economist and strategist at a Hong Kong branch of the fifth-largest Chinese bank for more than 12 years. He has a Ph.D. in Economics, MSc in Mathematics, and MSc in Astrophysics.
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