The Islamic Republic of Iran has long cultivated the image of an ideologically unified and stable regime. Yet beneath this curated facade lies a brittle and fragmented power structure increasingly marked by infighting, declining legitimacy, and a deepening disconnect with the Iranian people. According to Mehdi Motaharnia, a leading political scientist and futurist at Tehran University, the Islamic Republic has entered a critical phase of systemic erosion—one that mirrors, in key ways, the Soviet Union’s final years.

The skyline of Tehran, Iran, in this file photo. A O/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
Commentary




