The recent ease of inflation reduces the pressure of monetary tightening. A year-end rally has begun. But if inflation is really coming down, this also means aggregate demand is weak enough for the goods market to be a buy-side market where sellers have to step back in pricing. But inflation is not coming down quickly. Instead, core inflation, such as the services component, stays high at around 4 percent without much change over recent months. The recent decline in headline inflation was largely a result of non-core components and a high base effect.

Shipping containers stack at Zhoushan port in Ningbo, in China's eastern Zhejiang province, on April 19, 2023. China's exports just experienced another drop in July, plunging 14.5 percent year-on-year.STR/AFP via Getty Images
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