Opinion
Opinion

Exports Data Predicting a Global Cycle Ahead

Exports Data Predicting a Global Cycle Ahead
Shipping containers stack at Zhoushan port in Ningbo, in China's eastern Zhejiang province, on April 19, 2023. China's exports just experienced another drop in July, plunging 14.5 percent year-on-year.STR/AFP via Getty Images
|Updated:
0:00
Commentary

The recent ease of inflation reduces the pressure of monetary tightening. A year-end rally has begun. But if inflation is really coming down, this also means aggregate demand is weak enough for the goods market to be a buy-side market where sellers have to step back in pricing. But inflation is not coming down quickly. Instead, core inflation, such as the services component, stays high at around 4 percent without much change over recent months. The recent decline in headline inflation was largely a result of non-core components and a high base effect.

Law Ka-chung
Law Ka-chung
Author
Law Ka-chung is a commentator on global macroeconomics and markets. He has been writing numerous newspaper and magazine columns and talking about markets on various TV, radio, and online channels in Hong Kong since 2005. He covers all types of economics and finance topics in the United States, Europe, and Asia, ranging from macroeconomic theories to market outlook for equities, currencies, rates, yields, and commodities. He has been the chief economist and strategist at a Hong Kong branch of the fifth-largest Chinese bank for more than 12 years. He has a Ph.D. in Economics, MSc in Mathematics, and MSc in Astrophysics.
twitter
facebook
Related Topics