China in the Process of Housing Deleveraging

China in the Process of Housing Deleveraging
A Chinese worker looks back as he walks along a street after work in Beijing on Dec. 28, 2015. Wang Zhao/AFP via Getty Images
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Commentary

China has always been hoping to avoid the mistakes committed by its predecessors. A decade ago when China was forced by the U.S. to appreciate its currency value, China refused to do so aggressively. From 1985 to 1987, USD/JPY fell from 260 to 120, or the Japanese Yen appreciated by more than double. Chinese Yuan obviously did not follow suit during the late 2010s. The Yuan appreciated by only one-third from USD/CNY 8.2 to 6.2 between 2005 and 2013, an increase of less than 4 percent per annum, but it did not prevent a bubble from forming like that of Japan.

Law Ka-chung
Law Ka-chung
Author
Law Ka-chung is a commentator on global macroeconomics and markets. He has been writing numerous newspaper and magazine columns and talking about markets on various TV, radio, and online channels in Hong Kong since 2005. He covers all types of economics and finance topics in the United States, Europe, and Asia, ranging from macroeconomic theories to market outlook for equities, currencies, rates, yields, and commodities. He has been the chief economist and strategist at a Hong Kong branch of the fifth-largest Chinese bank for more than 12 years. He has a Ph.D. in Economics, MSc in Mathematics, and MSc in Astrophysics.
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