Oil Slips on Bearish US Data, Crude Stocks Build

Oil Slips on Bearish US Data, Crude Stocks Build
A maze of crude oil pipes and valves is pictured during a tour by the Department of Energy at the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in Freeport, Texas on June 9, 2016. (Richard Carson/Reuters)
Reuters
1/19/2023
Updated:
1/19/2023

LONDON—Oil futures fell by about 1 percent on Thursday, extending losses from the previous day, as a surprise jump in U.S. crude stocks weighed on the market along with fears of a recession that were heightened by disappointing U.S. retail sales and output data.

Brent crude futures lost 65 cents, or 0.8 percent, to $84.33 a barrel at 1030 GMT, after earlier easing to $83.76. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures declined 79 cents, or 1 percent, to $78.69 a barrel. It earlier fell to a low of $78.13.

“Bigger-than-expected fall in U.S. producer prices, a drop in retail sales, and the massive decline in manufacturing output last month raised worries once again about the economic cost of rate hikes,” PVM Oil analyst Tamas Varga said.

U.S. December retail sales fell by the most in a year, while manufacturing output recorded its biggest drop in nearly two years, as higher borrowing costs hurt demand for goods.

Still, Federal Reserve officials said interest rates needed to rise beyond 5 percent even as inflation shows signs of having peaked and economic activity is slowing.

The mean average forecast for U.S. crude oil inventories from a Reuters’ poll of nine analysts had been for a fall of about 600,000 barrels.

The big build marked the second consecutive week of large inventory increases.

However, distillate stockpiles, which include diesel and heating oil, fell by about 1.8 million barrels against analysts’ expectations for a 120,000-barrel increase.

The API report was delayed by a day due to Monday’s Martin Luther King Day public holiday in the United States. The government’s Energy Information Administration will release its weekly inventory report on Thursday.

With aggressive rate hikes still on the cards, the U.S. dollar climbed, weighing on oil demand as a stronger greenback makes the commodity more expensive for those holding other currencies.

Still, International Energy Agency (IEA) head Fatih Birol said on Thursday that energy markets could be tighter in 2023, adding he hoped prices would not rise further in order to ease the pressure on energy-importing developing countries.