Analysis
Opinion

Long China, Short US—the Volatility!

Long China, Short US—the Volatility!
A reality sign reads Under Contract in front of a for sale home in Annapolis, Md., on July 6, 2021. Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images
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Commentary

The worse than expected U.S. purchasing managers index (PMI) released days ago seems to suggest the economy is indeed slowing down. But wait. The manufacturing PMI still stood near 60, a level which was never reached between mid-2004 and end-2017. In fact, the recent high near 65 has never been seen since 1983. Even the month-on-month (MoM) growth of personal spending released last week was not bad at all: It rose at 1 percent in June where such fast growth had never been seen since 2009, suggesting the U.S. economy is still in a good shape.

Law Ka-chung
Law Ka-chung
Author
Law Ka-chung is a commentator on global macroeconomics and markets. He has been writing numerous newspaper and magazine columns and talking about markets on various TV, radio, and online channels in Hong Kong since 2005. He covers all types of economics and finance topics in the United States, Europe, and Asia, ranging from macroeconomic theories to market outlook for equities, currencies, rates, yields, and commodities. He has been the chief economist and strategist at a Hong Kong branch of the fifth-largest Chinese bank for more than 12 years. He has a Ph.D. in Economics, MSc in Mathematics, and MSc in Astrophysics.
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