JPMorgan Cuts China Growth Forecast for Fifth Time Since August

JPMorgan Cuts China Growth Forecast for Fifth Time Since August
The JP Morgan sign is pictured at its Beijing office, in this picture taken on Dec. 13, 2010. (Jason Lee/Reuters)
Reuters
11/5/2021
Updated:
11/5/2021

LONDON—JPMorgan cuts its fourth quarter growth forecast for China to 4.0 percent quarter-on-quarter from 5.0 percent on Friday, citing the impact of power shortages and the recurrence of COVID-19 clusters hitting consumer spending and services.

“Looking back, we have downgraded China’s growth forecasts five times since August,” JPMorgan’s Haibin Zhu said in a note, adding the bank now expected full-year growth of 7.8 percent and 4.7 percent in 2022.

“In particular, to smooth out COVID-related volatility, we note that the pace of average annual GDP growth (compared to two years ago) has decelerated notably.”