Japan Wholesale Inflation Hits 13-Year High, Squeezing Corporate Profits

By Reuters
Reuters
Reuters
October 12, 2021 Updated: October 12, 2021

TOKYO—Japan’s wholesale inflation hit a 13-year high in September as rising global commodity prices and a weak yen pushed up import costs, putting pressure on corporate margins and raising the risk of unwanted consumer price hikes.

Rising input costs are adding strain for manufacturers already hit by supply constraints and clouding the outlook for the world’s third-largest economy, which relies on exports to cushion the blow from soft consumption, analysts say.

The corporate goods price index (CGPI), which measures the price companies charge each other for their goods and services, surged 6.3 percent in September from a year earlier, Bank of Japan data showed on Tuesday, exceeding market forecasts for a 5.9 percent gain.

The increase accelerated from a revised 5.8 percent rise in August to its fastest pace since September 2008, the data showed.

“If rises in raw material costs accelerate, companies selling final goods prices will see profits squeezed. As Japan is a net importer of fuel, such cost-push inflation could hurt the economy,” said Toru Suehiro, senior economist at Daiwa Securities.

Rising oil prices pushed up petroleum and coal costs by 32.4 percent in September, while prices of wood products spiked 48.3 percent.

An index gauging yen-based wholesale import prices surged a record 31.3 percent in September from a year earlier, suggesting a weak yen—usually a boon to the economy by lifting exports—could hurt growth by squeezing the bottom line for corporations.

“A double whammy of declining yen value and rising energy costs could be a huge blow to Japan’s economy,” said Mari Iwashita, chief market economist at Daiwa Securities.

Still, analysts doubted whether the rise in wholesale prices would trigger a spike in Japan’s consumer inflation, as seen in other economies.

“Most of the rise in wholesale prices will be absorbed by companies with the impact on consumers likely marginal, such as through higher gasoline costs,” said Atsushi Takeda, chief economist at Itochu Economic Research Institute.

Core consumer inflation was flat in August from the previous year, well short of the BOJ’s 2 percent target, as weak household spending keeps firms from raising prices.

By Leika Kihara

Reuters