A leading Chinese professor—who is also an adviser to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)—laid out a comprehensive plan for the communist regime to overtake the United States as the world’s superpower.
The professor's multi-pronged strategy involves a range of malign actions to subvert the United States while strengthening the Chinese regime. They include interfering in U.S. elections, controlling the American market, cultivating global enemies to challenge the United States, stealing U.S. technology, expanding Chinese territory, and influencing international organizations.
“We want to be the world leader,” Jin said, explaining Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s desire for a “national rejuvenation” of the country.
Jin was also a visiting professor at the Gerald Ford School of Public Policy at the University of Michigan, in 2003 and 2007.
Weakening the United StatesThe strategy to topple the United States has two broad components: weakening America through both internal and foreign sources; and strengthening the Chinese regime’s economic, military, and diplomatic power.
Using a metaphor of a company to illustrate the U.S.–China dynamic, Jin likened the United States to a company president and China to a vice president who wants the top job.
“The United States is a middle-aged man who is good-looking, has strong capabilities, and support from most employees,” Jin said.
“[To replace it], we first need to create the conditions to make it easier for the United States to make mistakes. Second, we should make it as busy as possible [dealing with problems], to the extent that it will feel depressed and want to give up. Third, we should become intertwined with the United States, so that it can’t attack us.”
Manipulating ElectionsJin suggested that the CCP should interfere in U.S. elections to bring pro-Beijing candidates to power. He singled out races for seats in the House of Representatives as an easy target.
“The Chinese government wants to arrange Chinese investments in every single congressional district to control thousands of voters in each district,” Jin said.
He noted that with the U.S. population standing at about 312 million across 435 congressional districts at the time, there were roughly 750,000 residents living in each district.
“The voting rate in the United States is about 30 percent, which means around 200,000 residents in each congressional district vote for the representative in that district,” Jin said. “Normally, the difference of votes between two candidates is 10,000 or less. If China has thousands of votes on hand, China will be the boss of the candidates.”
Jin said China’s ambition is to control at least the House.
Controlling the US Market
Ramping up Chinese investments in the United States is another way to exert influence in the country’s political system, Jin said, noting that this tactic has the added benefit of enriching Chinese business people and the CCP.
“The investment opportunities in the United States are relatively good,” he said. “The U.S. market is open—more open than the Japanese and European ones.” He added that the market's strengths include its size, transparency, and stability.
He said the Chinese regime wants Chinese business people to control the U.S. market and to develop their businesses in the country.
To reach this goal, the Chinese regime tried to negotiate with Washington for a U.S.–China Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT). The agreement was actively negotiated for the decade prior to 2017, but fell off the agenda during the Trump administration.
Fostering Enemies of the US
Jin said the CCP’s “strategic task” is to make sure the United States has no less than four enemies. That's how many are needed to stretch U.S. resources while bogging the government down in domestic debates over which threat to prioritize, Jin said.
For instance, before World War II, the United States had two adversaries, Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union.
“The Americans debated over and over about who is the real threat,” he said.
“If the United States has four enemies, it will totally lose its direction.”
Analyzing the situation as of 2016, Jin concluded that the United States only had three adversaries: “Terrorism is definitely an enemy of the United States. Russia looks like another one. … Definitely, the United States treats us [China] as a competitor. … It’s not enough.”
The professor said that in the past few years, the CCP had tried to cultivate Brazil into an adversary of the United States, but was unsuccessful because Brazil “didn’t want to be improved.”
He said the CCP invested heavily in Brazil in its bid to draw support on global issues, including taking stances against the United States. Xi had visited Brazil in 2014 and agreed to invest in infrastructure in the country’s western region, as well as a railway to link ports in Brazil and Peru.
Causing International Problems for the USJin said the Chinese regime was at a strategic advantage, due to the U.S. role as global enforcer: Whenever there is a crisis in the world, the United States is obligated to intervene to maintain global stability, which, in turn, drains U.S. resources and diverts attention away from China.
As examples, he cited the Afghanistan and Iraq wars, which he described as “completely not strategically valuable” endeavors that cost the United States “$6 trillion and 10,000 soldiers’ lives.”
The result was that the United States “wasted 10 years" without being aware of China’s development and "let China grow big,” he said.
Finally, engaging in drawn-out negotiations is an effective strategy for bogging down the United States while giving the Chinese regime time to focus on developing itself, according to Jin. During such negotiations, the United States won’t take punitive actions against the CCP such as sanctions and, instead, focuses its energy on preparing and carrying out the discussions.
Meanwhile, the Chinese regime, which has no intention of negotiating in good faith, uses the breathing space given to it over the course of the negotiations to solidify its power both inside and outside of China.
Strengthening the Chinese Regime
Stealing US TechnologyThe professor conceded that the CCP has depended on stolen U.S. technology to fuel its growth.
“China’s industry has a large output, but lacks certain technology,” Jin said. “In the past 30 years, we bought technology, 46 percent of which were from Germany. But the United States has the best technology, but it doesn’t sell to us.
“Americans think that Chinese hackers steal a lot of their things. This may very well be true.”
Jin said key technology for China’s J-20 fighter jet and DF-41 intercontinental ballistic missile was stolen from the United States.
The regime is also eager to get its hands on U.S. space technology.
Expanding the Regime’s TerritoryJin believes the Chinese regime will occupy the whole of the South China Sea and Taiwan in the near future.
Beijing has sought to bolster its claims in the strategic waterways by building artificial islands in the area and building military outposts on them.
“In one and half years [in 2013 and 2014, under Xi’s administration], China has created more than 3,200 acres of territory. The other four claimant states have created only 100 acres in 45 years,” Jin said.
He predicted that the CCP would continue to create more features in the South China Sea.
“Even if the Philippines wants the United States to take over the reefs [in the South China Sea], the United States can’t guard them,” Jin said. “If the United States stations an aircraft carrier there, China can simply send 2,000 fishing boats and surround the carrier. The carrier doesn’t dare to fire at the fishing boats.”
Building Global Influence by Leading ProjectsXi’s global strategy to bolster the regime’s global power has two pillars, according to Jin: the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific (FTAAP).
“The ultimate purpose of BRI is to team up with the industrial power Germany. Then, there’s no position of the United States in the world’s industrial playing field,” Jin said.
Similarly, Jin said the FTAAP, a free-trade proposal among 21 Asian-Pacific countries, would also open a conduit of influence for the CCP in the region.
The professor also believes that countries receiving loans from the Chinese-backed New Development Bank and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank would then be beholden to the regime, Jin said.
Influencing International OrganizationsJin also explained the CCP’s plan to exert greater influence over global bodies such as the United Nations, the World Trade Organization, the World Health Organization, Interpol, the International Monetary Fund, the International Olympic Committee, and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
The Chinese regime’s goal is for “all these international organizations to be controlled by China."
"We can appoint someone who speaks Chinese [and who represents China] to be its leaders,” Jin said.
During his speech, Jin emphasized that Xi is unlike his predecessors in his ambitions. Previous CCP leaders, such as Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, and Hu Jintao, worked hard to develop the regime’s power but didn’t dare to use it, he said.
“No matter how much power you have, it’s nothing if you don’t dare to use it,” Jin said. “Chairman Xi dares to use it. [Xi’s authorities] have the power, dare to use that power, and all of its attacks make the other party bleed.”
Xi’s ambitions, however, can't be revealed to the outside world, the professor said.
When Xi took power in 2012, he urged the country to realize the “Chinese dream.” That meant becoming a “moderately well-off” country by 2021, and a “strong, democratic, civilized, harmonious, and modern socialist country” by 2049.
Jin said that Xi’s target is actually to replace the United States as the world’s only superpower by 2049.
“[Chinese] Ministry of Foreign Affairs keeps saying [at press briefings] that China loves peace. But no reporters at the press briefings believe this,” Jin said.