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Taiwan’s Election Result May Lead to Fundamental Political Change in China: Experts

The public in mainland China, living under the CCP’s socialist rule, are calling for unification of ‘One China’ under Taiwan’s liberal democratic system.
Taiwan’s Election Result May Lead to Fundamental Political Change in China: Experts
Supporters of Taiwan's current vice president, now the president-elect, from the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) wait for President-elect Lai Ching-te to speak at the party's headquarters in Taipei, Taiwan, on Jan. 13, 2024. Annice Lyn/Getty Images
Alex Wu
1/18/2024|Updated: 1/23/2024
0:00

As Taiwan’s Jan. 13 presidential election concluded with the pro-democracy candidate Lai Ching-te elected as the new president and Hsiao Bi-khim as the vice president, observers anticipate that the mature democracy displayed in Taiwan’s election process may lead to calls for fundamental political changes in China.

While mainland Chinese citizens searched online for live reports on Taiwan’s Election Day, Mainland Chinese media, which is controlled and censored by the ruling Chinese Communist Party (CCP), didn’t cover the voting.

“Today is the voting day for the Taiwan election?” one netizen among many similar voices complained on the China-based social media platform Weibo. “Why is there no news report!”

Jin Zhong, editor-in-chief of the Hong Kong political periodical Open Magazine, told The Epoch Times that the CCP was concerned that the scenes of Taiwan’s election—with citizens’ full participation—would be seen by mainlanders and inspire them to say “‘Taiwan can do it, why can’t we?’ This is very detrimental to authoritarian rule.”

“The CCP doesn’t allow the entire process of Taiwan’s election to be known to mainland Chinese. CCTV, their websites, and newspapers all reported it negatively, saying nonsense like that the DPP [Democratic Progressive Party] is seeking Taiwan independence.”

International and local Taiwanese media, and social media covered the campaign activities of all three parties who held open debates with one another in public.

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Taiwan’s general election demonstrated the Taiwanese citizens’ excellent civic-mindedness, enthusiastic public speaking, street canvassing, and teamwork skills, while fulfilling Sun Yat-sen’s Three People’s Principles of selecting the virtuous and the capable, Mr. Jin said.

“Selecting those who are virtuous, clean, non-corrupt, and of good moral character; the second is capability, which means having the ability to work and lead,“ he said. ”The policies and programs proposed by them can be accepted by the people.

“The Chinese people on the mainland see this clearly.”

Sun Yat-sen was the founder of the Republic of China (ROC, 1911–present), and Taiwan is the last territory of the ROC after the communists took over mainland China during a civil war in 1949. However, the ROC and the CCP never declared an end to the war, and no peace treaty was ever signed. Neither government recognizes the other, and they continue to battle globally for international recognition.

It’s been 75 years since the communist regime that calls itself the People’s Republic of China was established in 1949, Mr. Jin said.

“China has been under dictatorship for three-quarters of a century, and the people have no rights,“ he said. ”Not only do they not have the right to have one vote each person, they also have no right to speak. If they say a word of wanting democracy or criticizing the one-party dictatorship of the CCP, they will be punished immediately.

“Taiwan’s democratic system can influence mainland China, and the Chinese people will demand that we also hold elections, so the CCP is not able to sit still.

“And that’s why they’ve tried to meddle with Taiwan’s election and not to report the campaign and the voting process.”

Chen Kuide, executive chairman of the Princeton China Initiative, also went to Taiwan to observe the election and attended a conference titled “How Taiwan’s Democratic Politics Leads China’s Political Changes.”

“The Republic of China, an old state, has actually carved out a new destiny in Taiwan,” he told The Epoch Times. “If Taiwan can do so, why can’t mainland China?

“From all aspects, it is a great inspiration to the Chinese people.”

Supporters of Democratic Progressive Party President-elect Lai Ching-te celebrate the election returns in Taipei, Taiwan, on Jan. 13, 2024. (Melina Chan/The Epoch Times)
Supporters of Democratic Progressive Party President-elect Lai Ching-te celebrate the election returns in Taipei, Taiwan, on Jan. 13, 2024. Melina Chan/The Epoch Times

The competition between the two systems across the Taiwan Strait has clearly demonstrated that Beijing’s political approach of suppressing human rights and expanding externally has no future, Mr. Chen said.

“What the CCP is most afraid of is not that China will not be unified,” he said. “It is afraid that Taiwan will truly pose a fundamental challenge to the [communist] system of mainland China.”

The CCP’s unification is “to get Taiwan into its system and use all means possible to destroy Taiwan,” Mr. Chen said.

During the election, the CCP used various methods to intimidate the Taiwanese people, such as making civil and military threats, launching rockets, using artificial intelligence to influence voters, promoting pro-CCP viewpoints to young Taiwanese voters on TikTok, and engaging in economic coercion.

Mr. Chen said that the CCP also knows that, no matter what method it adopts, it can’t stop Taiwan’s elections. It also knows that as it interferes, its actions may “even have a counterproductive effect, strengthening the Taiwanese people’s determination to pursue a way of freedom and survival.”

Mainland Calls to Unify China Under Taiwan’s System

Many mainland Chinese expressed support for Taiwan’s liberal democratic values on social media. One lauded the Taiwanese people:

“Taiwanese people have become the masters of their own country through their votes and achieved fairness and justice. Congratulations to the people of Taiwan!”

Another said, “One person, one vote to elect president started since 1996 [when Taiwan held its first presidential election].”

Mr. Li, a professor in Beijing, told The Epoch Times: “In reality, China and Taiwan are two separate countries, and Taiwan represents the Republic of China. This is a fact. Taiwan is not electing a governor of China, but is electing its president.

“If Taiwan were to be unified by the CCP, then Taiwan, as the only place where the Chinese nation can have modern civilization, will no longer exist. Hong Kong is an example.”

Supporters of Taiwan's President Tsai Ing-wen from the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) display a placard during a rally in Taipei, Taiwan, on Jan. 10, 2020, ahead of the Jan. 11 presidential and parliamentary elections. (Sam Yeh/AFP)
Supporters of Taiwan's President Tsai Ing-wen from the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) display a placard during a rally in Taipei, Taiwan, on Jan. 10, 2020, ahead of the Jan. 11 presidential and parliamentary elections. Sam Yeh/AFP

Mr. Li said that mainland China hasn’t moved toward modern civilization under the CCP’s one-party dictatorship.

“Officials of the CCP are well aware of this, but they dare not speak out and cannot reverse this situation,” he said. “But sometimes it only needs a trigger for things to happen. The former Soviet Union was so huge, but didn’t it fall overnight?”

Mr. Tong, a retired public security officer in mainland China, said that Taiwan is a model for China’s future democratic elections and that Taiwan’s electoral system can be moved to the mainland in the future.

“Once mainland China undergoes democratic transition, it needs a role model and a mature electoral system and procedures,” he said.

Ms. Liu, an employee of a state-owned enterprise in Baotou, Inner Mongolia, told The Epoch Times that if China is unified, the CCP’s political system must change from a one-party dictatorship to a system of multi-party governance, with multiple candidates running for election.

“China’s current environment and entire system must be transformed into Taiwan’s system, only in this way can both sides of the Taiwan Strait have a basis for reunification,” she said.

‘On the Road’ vs. ‘Always on the Road’

Meanwhile, many Chinese had fun making comparisons between Mr. Lai’s campaign video “On the Road” and the CCP’s follow-up propaganda piece “Always on the Road.” The social media trend attracted wide attention for how it represents what many informed Chinese see as the fundamental difference in the mindset and practice between a liberal democracy and a dictatorship.

The short video “On the Road,” which has had tens of millions of views since it was posted on Jan. 2, featured a road trip of Taiwan’s current President Tsai Ing-wen and Vice President Mr. Lai, now the president-elect. It started with Ms. Tsai driving a car with Mr. Lai in the passenger seat, and the pair conversing about Taiwan’s democracy and its development over the past four years.

Ms. Tsai then gives her car keys to Mr. Lai before she gets out of the car. Mr. Lai takes the keys, and the phrase “pass the baton” appears on the screen. Afterward, Mr. Lai is seen in the driver’s seat, and his campaign partner, vice presidential candidate Ms. Hsiao gets into the car, taking the passenger seat next to him. Ms. Tsai is standing on the road next to the car smiling and waving at them while Mr. Lai and Ms. Hsiao drive away. The video received overwhelmingly positive reviews for its clear and simple message of democracy.

Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen (R) and Vice President-elect Lai Ching-te gesture outside the campaign headquarters in Taipei, Taiwan, on Jan. 11, 2020. (SAM YEH/AFP via Getty Images)
Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen (R) and Vice President-elect Lai Ching-te gesture outside the campaign headquarters in Taipei, Taiwan, on Jan. 11, 2020. SAM YEH/AFP via Getty Images

A few days later, on Jan. 8, the CCP’s official media published an article titled “Always on the Road” to review CCP leader Xi Jinping’s slogan, doubling down on the one-party rule of the CCP.

The CCP’s propaganda piece received ridicule from the public for its stated intention of never getting off the road of communism’s socialist ideology, in stark comparison to Mr. Lai’s campaign video.

Commentators said the CCP’s video was quite scary as it represents the CCP and Xi’s mentality and intention of insisting on being a dictator for life, even when their subjects are grossly suffering and disrespected by the state.

Song Tang, Yi Ru, Huang Yun, and Luo Ya contributed to this report.
Alex Wu
Alex Wu
Author
Alex Wu is a U.S.-based writer for The Epoch Times focusing on Chinese society, Chinese culture, human rights, and international relations.
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