The first-quarter high for the Chinese economy—fueled by borrowing—has worn thin in the second quarter. The China Beige Book (CBB) states that the Chinese economy improved in the second quarter “albeit modestly and unsustainably.”
The CBB research service conducted more than 4,000 interviews with firms and bankers on the ground in China to prepare its second-quarter preview. During the past three quarters, CBB data has bested Beijing’s official data in revealing the true picture of the Chinese economy as it struggles in the trade war with the United States. Official purchasing managers’ index (PMI) readings initially clashed with CBB’s numbers but then fell in line with them.