On China’s Disinflation

On China’s Disinflation
The picture shows a Chinese migrant worker passes by The People's Bank of China in Beijing on May 1, 2013. Mark Ralston/AFP
Law Ka-chung
Updated:
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Commentary

Disinflation in China is one of the eye-catching macroeconomic phenomena against the backdrop of global high inflation. Look at the other BRICS countries: India’s latest inflation stands at 7 percent, South Africa at 8 percent, Brazil at 9 percent, and Russia at 14 percent. China? Below 3 percent. Real estate and debt deleveraging (reducing debt) must be accountable for the disinflation. This is what Japan experienced from the 1990s to last year. Even Japan is now seeing 3 percent inflation which is higher than that of China. From now on, we have to introduce a new label “Asia ex-China” to replace “Asia ex-Japan.”

Law Ka-chung
Law Ka-chung
Author
Law Ka-chung is a commentator on global macroeconomics and markets. He has been writing numerous newspaper and magazine columns and talking about markets on various TV, radio, and online channels in Hong Kong since 2005. He covers all types of economics and finance topics in the United States, Europe, and Asia, ranging from macroeconomic theories to market outlook for equities, currencies, rates, yields, and commodities. He has been the chief economist and strategist at a Hong Kong branch of the fifth-largest Chinese bank for more than 12 years. He has a Ph.D. in Economics, MSc in Mathematics, and MSc in Astrophysics.
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