Israel–Iran Conflict May Jeopardize China’s $400 Billion Deal With Iran

The cheap crude oil flow from Iran to China might be cut off as the conflict persists.

Smoke rises after a reported Israeli strike on a building used by Islamic Republic of Iran News Network, part of Iran's state TV broadcaster, in Tehran, Iran, on June 16, 2025. Over recent days, Iran has been hit by a series of Israeli airstrikes targeting military and nuclear sites, as well as top military officials, prompting Iran to launch a counterattack. Photo by Stringer/Getty Images

As the Israel–Iran conflict intensifies, China’s reliance on cheap oil from Iran and its $400 billion deal with the Islamic regime may be in jeopardy.

If the Iranian regime is toppled, analysts say, the Chinese communist regime will not only face an economic blow, but its expansionist global strategy that involves using the Middle East as a frontier to contain the West also will be thwarted.