China’s February Factory PMI Seen at Lowest Since 2009 as Coronavirus Slams Production

China’s February Factory PMI Seen at Lowest Since 2009 as Coronavirus Slams Production
A worker welds a bicycle steel rim at a factory manufacturing sports equipment in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, China, on Sept. 2, 2019. China Daily via Reuters
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BEIJING—Activity in China’s vast manufacturing sector likely shrank at the fastest pace since the global financial crisis in February as the coronavirus suspended large movements of goods and people in most parts of the country.

China’s official manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) is forecast to fall sharply to 46—a level not seen since January 2009—from 50 a month earlier, according to the median forecast of 25 economists polled by Reuters. The neutral 50-point mark separates monthly growth from contraction.