US Retail Sales at All-Time Highs, but Consumer Sentiment Hits 10-year Low

US Retail Sales at All-Time Highs, but Consumer Sentiment Hits 10-year Low
A woman carries shopping bags in New York on Dec. 10, 2020. Mark Lennihan/AP Photo
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Investors reacted positively to a strong U.S. retail sales report on Tuesday, but there has been a historic divergence between consumer sentiment and consumer behavior.

The Numbers

On Tuesday, the Commerce Department reported U.S. retail sales grew 1.7 percent in October, ahead of analyst estimates of 1.5 percent growth. The stronger-than-expected spending numbers come the same month the consumer price index jumped 6.2 percent, its highest growth since the 1990s.
Meanwhile, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 66.8 for November, its lowest level in a decade. Consumers are concerned about the negative impact inflation could have on their future spending and savings.

Why It’s Important

Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was up 6.2 percent in October, its sharpest increase in 31 years.