Commentary
Last week’s big news concerned inflation, with a deflationary Producer Price Index (PPI) and a slightly inflationary Consumer Price Index (CPI) revealing two different views. Last Wednesday’s deflationary PPI stems from the products imported from China, due to the deflation there, while the CPI’s shelter costs (owners’ equivalent rent) remained stubbornly high in August at +0.4% (a 5% annual rate). At the same time, lower crude oil prices helped depress both wholesale and consumer price inflation, and last Monday, OPEC+ agreed to boost crude oil production to 137,000 barrels a day in October, depressing prices more.