Powell Sets Fed’s Course With Data-Based Judgment

Powell Sets Fed’s Course With Data-Based Judgment
A cyclist passes the Federal Reserve building in Washington on Aug. 22, 2018. Chris Wattie/Reuters
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JACKSON HOLE, Wyo.—Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has begun putting his stamp on the U.S. central bank as someone who will rely more on data-informed judgment and less on some of the models and theoretical values that have shaped the Fed’s course in recent years but that Powell has said can be false guides.

In doing so he may be laying the groundwork for a longer-than-expected rate-increase cycle, as discussion intensifies among policymakers about what level of borrowing costs is appropriate in an economy that is nearly back to full health. In addition, the full stimulative effects of President Donald Trump’s tax cuts and increased government spending may not yet have presented themselves.