Phillips Curve Breaks Down Under High Inflation

Phillips Curve Breaks Down Under High Inflation
President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the economy and inflation in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building in Washington, on Jan. 12, 2023. Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images
Law Ka-chung
Updated:
0:00
Commentary

International organizations such as International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank (WB), and Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OCED) have revised upward their economic forecasts in turn. Were their forecast updates correct, this would mean the global tightening is not strong enough, and probably not enough to bring down inflation to the 2 percent target. Data show this is indeed the case. Most countries, including United States, nations within the eurozone, the United Kingdom, and Australia are having their core inflation rates stayed flat (and high) over the past three to six quarters.

Law Ka-chung
Law Ka-chung
Author
Law Ka-chung is a commentator on global macroeconomics and markets. He has been writing numerous newspaper and magazine columns and talking about markets on various TV, radio, and online channels in Hong Kong since 2005. He covers all types of economics and finance topics in the United States, Europe, and Asia, ranging from macroeconomic theories to market outlook for equities, currencies, rates, yields, and commodities. He has been the chief economist and strategist at a Hong Kong branch of the fifth-largest Chinese bank for more than 12 years. He has a Ph.D. in Economics, MSc in Mathematics, and MSc in Astrophysics.
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