Persian Gulf Oil Output May Not Recover Until Early 2027

Restoring production in the Persian Gulf could take time after the war with Iran ends.

A bulk carrier sits anchored as families gather on the last day of Eid at Sultan Qaboos Port in Muscat, Oman, on March 23, 2026. Elke Scholiers/Getty Images

Restoring Persian Gulf oil production to pre-conflict levels may not happen until 2027.

While details have yet to be officially released, the memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran is nearing completion, signaling a possible end to the three-month-old conflict and a potential return of stability to global energy markets.