China Is Weaker in Demand Than Supply

China Is Weaker in Demand Than Supply
People buy food and household items at a supermarket in Beijing on May 12, 2022. JADE GAO/AFP via Getty Images
Law Ka-chung
Updated:
0:00
Commentary

None of the latest data released from China were good. Inflation was higher than expected while all other quantity growth rates were lower than expected or declining, arousing the worry of stagflation. Stagflation is by definition a higher price (growth) with a lower quantity (growth), and is highly likely a result of a leftward shift of the supply curve. Since the bad numbers happened under COVID lockdown, most analytics would attribute the former to supply bottlenecks, as the Federal Reserve labeled the uncontrolled inflation problem. But in fact, it is not the case.

Law Ka-chung
Law Ka-chung
Author
Law Ka-chung is a commentator on global macroeconomics and markets. He has been writing numerous newspaper and magazine columns and talking about markets on various TV, radio, and online channels in Hong Kong since 2005. He covers all types of economics and finance topics in the United States, Europe, and Asia, ranging from macroeconomic theories to market outlook for equities, currencies, rates, yields, and commodities. He has been the chief economist and strategist at a Hong Kong branch of the fifth-largest Chinese bank for more than 12 years. He has a Ph.D. in Economics, MSc in Mathematics, and MSc in Astrophysics.
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