Beijing Tries to Respond to China’s Bleak Demographics

Beijing Tries to Respond to China’s Bleak Demographics
A "one-child" policy billboard saying, "Have less children, have a better life," greets residents on the main street of Shuangwang, southern China's Guangxi region in May 2017. Goh Chai Hin/AFP via Getty Images
Milton Ezrati
Updated:
Commentary

Beijing is now well aware that decades of its one-child policy have at last begun to starve China’s economy for workers and growth potential. The first sign of recognition appeared in 2016, when the government finally rescinded that by then almost 40-year-old stricture on family size. Though the public hardly responded and birth rates remain below replacement, the country has so far avoided outright population decline only because longevity allowed the elderly retired population to expand. China still faces a paucity of youthful labor entering its workforce, a condition that will only become more acute, slowing the economy’s pace of growth, and rendering it less flexible.

Milton Ezrati
Milton Ezrati
Author
Milton Ezrati is a contributing editor at The National Interest, an affiliate of the Center for the Study of Human Capital at the University at Buffalo (SUNY), and chief economist for Vested, a New York-based communications firm. Before joining Vested, he served as chief market strategist and economist for Lord, Abbett & Co. He also writes frequently for City Journal and blogs regularly for Forbes. His latest book is "Thirty Tomorrows: The Next Three Decades of Globalization, Demographics, and How We Will Live."
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