Bank Failures and Recession Ahead

Bank Failures and Recession Ahead
An employee of a bank counts U.S. dollar notes at a branch in Hanoi, Vietnam, on May 16, 2016. Kham/Reuters
Law Ka-chung
Updated:
0:00
Commentary
While the market was surprised by the stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data like jobs, the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), and CPI, a run on the Silicon Valley Bank occurred resulted in its collapse. Ironically, some analysts were recommending banking stocks based on their interest rate hike argument. It turns out that the prices of these stocks plummeted. They seemed naïve to the extent of not knowing how banks make money. By construction, banks borrow short and lend long. The prolonged and worsening inverted yield curve has suggested banks are losers.
Law Ka-chung
Law Ka-chung
Author
Law Ka-chung is a commentator on global macroeconomics and markets. He has been writing numerous newspaper and magazine columns and talking about markets on various TV, radio, and online channels in Hong Kong since 2005. He covers all types of economics and finance topics in the United States, Europe, and Asia, ranging from macroeconomic theories to market outlook for equities, currencies, rates, yields, and commodities. He has been the chief economist and strategist at a Hong Kong branch of the fifth-largest Chinese bank for more than 12 years. He has a Ph.D. in Economics, MSc in Mathematics, and MSc in Astrophysics.
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