A new modeling study has found that the number of young Americans who are likely to develop type 2 diabetes in the country could rise almost sevenfold over the next 40 years—an estimate that has shocked some experts.
The overall number of youths with diabetes, both type 1 and type 2 combined, is expected to be 526,000 in 2060, up from 213,000 in 2017. The study found a higher burden of type 2 diabetes among Black, Hispanic, Pacific Islander, and American Indian/Alaska Native youths by this time.
Triggers for Diabetes

Type 1 diabetes does not have a known cause. It is believed to be linked to environmental or genetic factors.
Type 2 diabetes develops in individuals whose pancreas does not generate enough insulin, and the cells end up becoming insulin resistant. The situation can lead to a rise in blood sugar levels, which can turn out to be very dangerous with time.
This type of diabetes is often linked to inactivity and obesity. There is no known cure for type 2 diabetes. Instead, it has to be managed by following a good diet, regular exercise, and medications.
According to the CDC, the projected increase in type 2 diabetes in the study could be related to the “increasing prevalence of childhood obesity.” In addition, if a mother has diabetes, it raises the risk of the disease in her children. As such, the diabetic condition of a childbearing mother is also a key factor.