Monday night programming is proving strong again this season, with predictions for most shows indicating certain or likely renewal.
TV By the Numbers, which analyzes ratings and other factors in its predictions, says that The Blacklist, Sleepy Hollow, Castle, and NCIS: Los Angeles are “certain to be renewed.”
The Blacklist has been especially strong in season 2, winning three of the four 10 p.m. timeslots since it started. It crushed the Under the Dome finale on September 22 with 12.3 million (live + SD) million viewers, including 3.4 million in the coveted 18-49 demographic (versus 7.5 million, 1.8 million for Under the Dome).
The next Monday, September 29, saw Castle’s season premiere just edge The Blacklist (10.8 million against 10.5 million; The Blacklist had a higher demographic, though, with 2.8 against 2.2). NCIS: Los Angeles also premiered that night, garnering a strong 9.5 million (1.9 million).
All three shows are continuing to do well, with The Blacklist winning the next two Mondays but not by much. They do indeed look good for renewal.
Sleepy Hollow’s “certain to be renewed” designation is less clear, since it dipped from a 5.5 million premiere (2 million) to under 4.8 million for the last two episodes.
Scorpion has been handily beating Sleepy Hollow in the 9 p.m., starting out on September 22 with 13.8 million (3.2 million) and gradually dipping to 11.5 million (2.4 million) this past week.
