Canada is in a technical recession, but there is light at the end of the tunnel.
The inevitable was confirmed when Statistics Canada announced on Sept. 1 that Canadian Q2 real GDP fell 0.5 percent, marking two straight quarters of falling GDP. The first quarter GDP’s decline was revised lower to -0.8 percent from -0.6 percent. Overall, the extent of the decline is not as bad as economists’ consensus forecasts.
The other good news is June’s GDP marked the first month of positive growth of 2015, rising by 0.5 percent. This bodes well for the rebound in Q3 GDP that policymakers expect.
The investment slump is far from over considering that oil prices remain low.
, National Bank of Canada