A George Mason University scholar accurately predicted every turn and twist in China’s political storm of the last four months, and says there’s more to come.
To many China experts, both native and foreign, the current political turmoil surrounding the Bo Xilai scandal is extremely mysterious and bewildering. But Zhang Tianliang, an adjunct professor at George Mason University, presciently predicted every detail of it.
In April, Zhang summarized his “20 Prophecies” for China’s political future on his blog, which were also posted on The Epoch Times’ Chinese language site.
On Feb. 8, shortly after former Chongqing police chief Wang Lijun’s attempted defection was first revealed, Zhang wrote in his blog, “I wouldn’t be surprised if Bo [Xilai] loses his political career, or even goes to jail [over the attempted defection of his right-hand man].”
At that time most other commentators were guessing whether the incident would lower Bo’s chances for getting elected into the nine-member Politburo Standing Committee.
On Feb. 13, Zhang said he believed that Wang Lijun submitted evidence to the U.S. consulate that Zhou Yongkang and Bo Xilai had planned a coup d’etat. This was later confirmed by a U.S. official to the Washington Free Beacon.
In his next blog, posted 10 hours later, Zhang predicted that there would be consequences for Zhou Yongkang. In another post on Feb. 15 he said Zhou would lose power and face an investigation, instead of having a smooth retirement like many others predicted.
When Bo Xilai showed up at the National Congress and spoke about the Wang Lijun incident with apparent confidence at a March 9 press conference, Zhang said that, contrary to popular belief, Bo’s crisis was not over.
“Bo’s press conference doesn’t mean he’s already safe,” Zhang said. “His routine schedule has not yet been disrupted, as is evident from his meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper [on Feb. 11]. Until the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) makes the final decision, they always make things look normal.”
Zhang also pointed out that Bo’s speech was an invitation for a counterattack from his antagonists.
In his next blog Zhang further predicted that Hu Jintao would fight back very quickly.
Continued on the next page: Bo’s dismissal from all his Chongqing official positions.