Tories Would Lead Liberals by 100 Seats if an Election Were Held Today: Polls

The latest 338 Canada polling model has the Tories with 194 (+75), Liberals at 90 (-70), the Bloc at 32, the NDP at 20 (-5), and the Green Party at 2 seats.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre greet each other in the House of Commons on Parliament Hill in Ottawa on Sept. 15, 2022. The Canadian Press/Sean Kilpatrick

If a federal election were held today, the Conservative Party led by Pierre Poilievre would lead by an average of 100 seats over Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberals, according to the results of a mid-October projection poll by 338Canada.

The Tories are “well into majority territory,” while the Liberals are in a “free fall,” poll analyst and editor-in-chief of 338Canada Philippe Fournier said in a post on X, formerly known as Twitter, on Oct. 15.