Last week, Public Health Scotland announced that it going to hide its public weekly data on COVID-19 cases.
Inappropriate UsePHS stated that the data in the report should not be used as a measure of vaccine effectiveness and added that it “is aware of inappropriate use and misinterpretation of the data when taken in isolation without fully understanding the limitations described below.”
But a world-leading mathematician has suggested that official data from England proves vaccine effectiveness is waning in England and the latest development could hinder transparency in Scotland.
"Due to the increasing risk of misinterpretation from growing complexities as the COVID-19 pandemic enters its second year. PHS has taken the decision to no longer report COVID-19 cases, hospitalisations, and deaths by vaccination status on a weekly basis," PHS wrote in a statement.
It added that it is "currently reviewing the content and frequency of reporting this information and will continue to communicate up-to-date and high-quality research on COVID-19 vaccines."
“For example, we know it is 50 percent effective against getting infected, but that it is much higher effectiveness against hospitalisations and deaths which is the key thing really as that’s what we want to prevent," they told the publication.
Furthermore, a study found that people with two doses of vaccine were more likely to test themselves for COVID-19 compared to those unvaccinated or with one dose of a vaccine.
‘A Big, Big Problem’Former Trump administration official Paul E Alexander, an epidemiologist and Canadian health researcher used Scottish data to make a case at Sen. Ron Johnson’s (R-Wis.) panel discussion on Jan. 24. Some reports claimed that this was the reason behind removing the data.
The Johnson event discussed the current state of knowledge of early and hospital treatment, vaccine efficacy and safety, what went right, what went wrong, what should be done now, and what needs to be addressed long term
“We have some data from the UK and Scotland, this week, the third week of reporting for 2022, which demonstrates conclusively that the vaccine is driving the second dose and third booster dose is driving massive infections in the vaccinated. It is a big, big problem,” said Alexander, who has argued for early outpatient treatment for COVID-19.
Prof. Norman Fenton is an expert in risk information management at Queen Mary London University and an expert and mathematician on risk assessment and statistics with a focus on Bayesian probability, a mathematical procedure that applies probabilities to statistical problems.
After crunching the English data, Fenton told The Epoch Times that “we can't see any evidence that the vaccines are reducing all-cause mortality—there is no longer much evidence that they are doing much good actually.”
The ONS get their data by vaccine statuses, mainly from the National Immunisation Management System (NIMS) and others.
“But they are getting data by the vaccination status of people and mortality from different databases. There is a lot of potential for things to go wrong,” he said.
Fenton said that this distorts all the data. With Scotland, he said the same type of thing is going on. But without the available public data, he will have to go through other systems or freedom of information requests.
Inherent Biases“In Scotland, they don't want people finding out that the vaccines are much less effective as has been claimed. I am not suggesting there is some grand scheme or conspiracy around it, but it does fit into a narrative that the vaccines were pushed above everything else,” said Fenton.
Last November, the Office of National Statistics’ guidance on the interpretation COVID-19 case rates in England for vaccinated and unvaccinated groups stated that these raw data should not be used to estimate vaccine effectiveness.
This, it argued, was because the data does not take into account “inherent biases present such as differences in risk, behaviour, and testing in the vaccinated and unvaccinated populations.”