Conservatives Gain Ground for First Time Since Election as Cost-of-Living Worries Rise: Poll

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre (L) and Liberal Leader Mark Carney talk following the French-language federal leaders' debate at Maison de Radio-Canada in Montreal on April 16, 2025. Christopher Katsarov/POOL/AFP via Getty Images

The federal Conservatives have taken a lead over the Liberals for the first time since Mark Carney became prime minister in March, amid escalating worries about affordability and the economy, a new survey suggests.

There has been a “modest but significant shift” in national voting intentions with Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives garnering 41 percent support, surpassing the Liberals’ 39 percent vote share, figures released over the weekend by Abacus Data indicate. The Liberals’ vote share has fallen by four percentage points since the beginning of August.